Financial Crime World

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Financial Crime Risk Assessment Methods in Egypt: A Preliminary Report

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A recent report by Bojan NASTAV has shed light on the risks of illicit financial flows (IFFs) in Egypt, a country grappling with a significant shadow economy and tax evasion problems. The report identifies several factors that contribute to IFFs, including:

  • Corruption
  • Lack of transparency in financial transactions
  • Limited cooperation among government agencies

Characteristics of Egypt’s Financial System


The financial system in Egypt is characterized by a large informal sector, making it challenging to track financial transactions and identify suspicious activities. The country’s corporate tax rates are also relatively high, which may encourage companies to engage in aggressive tax avoidance practices.

Types of Illicit Financial Flows (IFFs) Relevant to Egypt


The report highlights several types of IFFs that are relevant to Egypt, including:

  • Trade misinvoicing
  • Smuggling of migrants
  • Drugs markets
  • Corruption

Industries Prone to IFFs in Egypt


Several industries are prone to IFFs in Egypt, including:

  • Extractive industries

Recommendations for Addressing IFFs


To address the issue of IFFs, the report recommends several national policies and measures, including:

  • Cooperation among government agencies
  • Improvement in data availability
  • Formation of a national expert group to measure IFFs
  • Adoption of a coordinated approach to measuring IFFs using a combination of statistical methods and international cooperation

Methodologies for Measuring IFFs


The report notes that several methodologies can be used to measure IFFs, including:

  • Partner Country Method
  • Price Filter Method
  • Global distribution of MNEs’ profits and corporate taxes

It recommends that Egypt adopt a methodology that is most appropriate for its country context and needs.

International Support and Capacity Building


Finally, the report highlights the need for support, training, and guidance from international organizations and experts to help Egypt develop its capacity to measure IFFs and implement effective policies to prevent them.