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Multi-Hazard Risk and Roads: Osh Province Tops Earthquake Risk, Naryn High on Flood Risk
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Kazakhstan - A recent study has revealed that the province of Osh has the highest risk of earthquakes in the country, accounting for 28.6% of the total earthquake risk. Meanwhile, Naryn province tops the flood risk list with a ratio of 8.44‰ to capital stock.
Earthquake Risk
According to the report, 90% of energy infrastructure and 99% of ICT infrastructure are located in high or extremely high earthquake risk areas. Similarly, 92% of highways are situated in these same areas, posing a significant threat to the country’s transportation network.
Flood Risk
In terms of flood risk, Osh and Jalal-Abad provinces account for half of the total flood losses, while Naryn has the highest flood AAL to capital stock ratio. However, ICT infrastructure is largely located in low-risk areas, with only 42% of highways situated in high or extremely high flood risk zones.
Regional Profile
The study also examined the regional profile of multi-hazard risks in North and Central Asia, revealing that droughts have a significant share in total multi- hazard AALs for countries in the region. The Russian Federation tops the list with the highest total multi-hazard risks, followed by Uzbekistan.
Maps
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Multi-Hazard Risk and Roads
- Earthquake risk map
- Flood risk map
- Road network map
Tables
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Top 5 Provinces by Earthquake Risk
Province | Percentage of Total Earthquake Risk |
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Osh | 28.6% |
Jalal-Abad | 15.4% |
Bishkek | 12.3% |
Chuy | 9.1% |
Talas | 5.2% |
Top 5 Provinces by Flood Risk
Province | Flood AAL to Capital Stock Ratio |
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Naryn | 8.44‰ |
Jalal-Abad | 6.23‰ |
Osh | 4.56‰ |
Chuy | 3.14‰ |
Talas | 2.46‰ |
Implications
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The study highlights the significant impact of disaster risk on sustainable development, particularly in countries with high AAL to capital stock ratios. The Disaster Risk Implications on Socio-Economic Development (DRDIi) index reveals that countries with high AALs may struggle to maintain or increase social expenditure and infrastructure investments.
Holistic Risk Indicator
The holistic risk indicator, which takes into account underlying risk drivers such as internet access, sanitation, and governance, highlights the need for a comprehensive approach to disaster risk management. The total risk value for Kyrgyzstan is 1.17, indicating a high level of vulnerability.
Call to Action
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The study emphasizes the importance of investing in disaster risk reduction and management measures to mitigate the impact of natural disasters on socio-economic development. Governments, policymakers, and stakeholders must work together to develop effective strategies to address these risks and ensure sustainable development for all.