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Threat Assessment for Sweden: Key Points

This report summarizes the key findings from a comprehensive threat assessment for Sweden, covering various aspects such as terrorism, extremism, cybercrime, human trafficking, environmental crimes, and money laundering.

Terrorism/Extremism

• The terrorist threat level in Sweden is at a level 3 (out of 5), indicating an elevated threat.
• The dominant terrorist threat is from violent Islamic extremism, with actors aiming to promote or commit acts of violence in conflict areas or against Sweden/Swedish interests.
• Approximately 300 Swedish residents had traveled to Syria to join IS between 2012 and 2015, with 40 confirmed deceased and 140 returned to Sweden.

Cybercrime

• The report highlights the increasing rate of technological innovation and the ability of organized criminals to adapt these technologies.
• Developments such as online trade in illicit goods and services are set to result in significant shifts in criminal markets and challenges for law enforcement.

Money Laundering

• Sweden’s threats and vulnerabilities to money laundering include cash, corporate structures, false invoicing, and the use of virtual currencies.
• Estimates suggest that Sweden’s exposure to laundered funds could be up to US$56 billion.

Criminal Proceeds

• Global proceeds of criminal activity are estimated at US$5.8 trillion, with Swedish GDP contributing approximately US$27 billion in criminal proceeds.

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