USAID’s Staff Reduction in Afghanistan: A Risky Move?

The U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) mission in Afghanistan has undergone a significant staff reduction, sparking concerns about the impact on program effectiveness and sustainability.

Staff Reductions: A 39% Cut

Between May 2019 and February 2020, USAID’s mission in Afghanistan reduced its staffing by 39%, leaving around 70 employees. This move was directed by the Secretary of State and Ambassador, despite concerns from mission staff that it would increase the risk of successful monitoring and oversight.

Risk Assessment: A Missed Opportunity

The mission identified some risks associated with staff reductions but failed to conduct a comprehensive assessment of the potential impact on program cuts. This oversight may have led to underestimating the consequences of their actions.

Key Aspects Missing from Program Evaluation

When evaluating programs for retention, reduction, or elimination, USAID’s spreadsheets lacked essential components of a comprehensive risk assessment:

• Identifying all proposed changes
• Assessing the level of risk or potential impact of each program
• Providing strategies to address those risks affecting sustainability

Sustainability: A Key Concern

The mission’s Country Development Cooperation Strategy (CDCS) highlights sustainability as a crucial factor in achieving USAID’s goals in Afghanistan. However, a senior official admitted that the effects of program cuts on sustainability were not fully assessed before sending the Congressional Notification (CN) to Congress.

Recommendations for Improvement

To ensure informed decision-making and minimize potential risks, the Office of Inspector General recommends:

1. Conducting a comprehensive risk assessment of program cuts
2. Developing strategies to mitigate or address identified risks
3. Providing clear and transparent documentation of the decision-making process

By following these recommendations, USAID can take a more informed approach to program cuts and ensure the sustainability of its investments in Afghanistan.

Conclusion

The staff reduction in USAID’s mission in Afghanistan raises concerns about the impact on program effectiveness and sustainability. By conducting a comprehensive risk assessment, developing strategies to mitigate risks, and providing transparent documentation, USAID can make informed decisions that minimize potential consequences and achieve its goals in Afghanistan.